Friday, October 11, 2013

Greased Lightning, Baby

Washington is all woofin' and hollerin' and feeling like they got a really good team this year. And perhaps they do. They were undefeated before they lost to Stanford by a whisker.

Their rise to a more respectable level of performance came this year when they stopped huddling and sped up their offense. They spread their players a bit and started passing quick outs and screens to compliment their run attack.

Why yes, now that you mention it, that DOES sound kind of like Oregon. Very much like Oregon in fact. But don't say that to Husky fans. They get really really mad when you suggest anything other than it was their own idea and invention.

They also rebuilt their stadium and renovated the locker room. They couldn't do it on Oregon's level because, as one Washington booster put it,
"We don't have that one crackpot eccentric CEO that puts his money where his mouth is," Washington booster Jim Kenyon said.

Now who on earth is he talking about?
Washington's new locker rooms
boast Stainmaster carpets and
fun throw pillows for the boys.


It rings of the same bitter 'Jones chasing' and sour grapes that Washington coach Steve Sarkisian demonstrated when he spit out fireworks after the hard fought battle at #5 Stanford that fell short by three points. More on that later.

But for now, Washington's Keith Price is one of the best QB's in the league. And RB Bishop Sankey is the league's top rusher.  What ever are the Ducks to do?

When you need to just get a good idea who is going to win a football game, ask the experts in Vegas. They're the ones who set the odds; but more than that, they analyze the matchup, the trends, the history, and from all of that they come up with a magic number. In this case, Oregon by 14.

All but the most distempered Dawg fans agree that Oregon will win this relatively close game. But it's not satisfying enough for me. I need the "it" that makes the difference. I need to point at something that says, "THIS is why Oregon is going to go into a new Husky Stadium with freshly rabid fans and snuff out the Dawgs' hot streak like pee on their cigarette."

I read the tremendous amount of blah blah in the blogs. I read all the Vegas sites I could without paying for "inside hot tips". But no one could tell me exactly HOW the Ducks would be capable of separating themselves from an upsurgent Husky team.

Finally I looked at this post on Addicted to Quack. No, it didn't really have the answer either, but got me there.

It contained two scientific analysis of football teams: The FEI and the S+P.  FEI is the "advanced statistical measure that tracks drive efficiency instead of per-play-success."  S+P is the "advanced statistical measure which combines success rate, explosiveness per play and opponent adjustments."

Bottom line: Oregon is ranked significantly higher than Washington in almost every category of both measurements. And if I understood what the hell either one was talking about, all of that would mean something to me. Truth is, I got blurry eyed reading about it.

Then I went down to the comments section where someone brought up how the stats can be affected at the end of the game when the score gets out of hand and Oregon's 2nd and 3rd stringers come in. The writer responded that both of these measuring systems throw out garbage time.

Garbage time? . . . . THAT'S IT!!!

PINK SLIPS ON THE DASH.  IT'S GARBAGE TIME!
Oregon has not only blown out it's first five opponents, they've done it in three quarters every time. Washington hasn't. In at least three or four of their games, they had to leave their starters in to the end to score in the 30's.

One could say, well Oregon is in trouble then because their starters don't have fourth quarter experience. Sure you can make that argument, if you're an IDIOT.

What we have here in Oregon is a super charged hot rod. Say you have a Corvette Stingray, Mustang Cobra, Gran Torino, Dodge Charger, Chevy SS. . . . . Pick your beast. And at your high school, you have beaten every other kid you've dragged raced handily without even having to shift beyond third gear.

Now comes some bully from across the border who has been tinkering with his car. He's heard about some of the things you've done to your engine and tried copying them as best he can. He's won same races himself and now he's calling you out.

The race is on. You're lined up with this A-hole. His girlfriend stands between you two, ready to drop the scarf in her hand. It drops, and off you go. He's off to a great start, pulling ahead. He put everything into his gear ration and throttle to give himself the best starts.

Now it's neck and neck. Three quarters of the way to the end. It's anybody's race, until you do something that no one has ever seen you do before. Something that blows him away.

Fourth gear.

How silly must it be for Washington to study a scouting report and build a game plan around everything a serious Heisman candidate and his star entourage does in only three quarters?

Sure, computer programs can throw out fourth quarters and call them "garbage time". But football teams can't. Washington will have to play that fourth quarter.

This Saturday, fourth quarter, the Huskies will BE THE GARBAGE.


Oregon's yellow is called 'Lightning'.
This week it's 'Greased Lightning'.
Let's do this, Dawgs.

The Sarkisian Sulk
Last week at Stanford, the refs overturned a pass play that UW coach Sarkisian says shouldn't have been overturned. Sarkisian didn't watch the replay when he made this claim but he obviously didn't feel he had to. He was sure it was a bad call.

And then there was the alleged fake injury incident. Sarkisian accused Stanford of faking injuries to slow down play. For his trouble he got wicked rebuttals from Stanford's staff along with plenty of criticism from the media.

Oregon got a taste of that when Cal faked injuries and when USC deflated the footballs. The difference is Oregon won those games. And Chip Kelly responded very Kellyesque like when he said, "We don't care about that stuff. We're moving on." And I believe he would've said the exact same thing had the Ducks lost.

Sarkisian has no such class and maturity. Lost is the admirable performance of his players in the noise of his whining.


DUCKS AND COUGS UNITE FOR GAMEDAY!
If you've watched ESPN's early morning college show Gameday, where they show up at campuses of great games all over the country, you know that for the past 10 years the Washington State Cougars have represented with at least one Coug flag waving in the background.

According to this story, with Gameday's first visit ever to Seattle (First visit! Really Huskies? That's kinda sad.), the Huskies are worried that the Cougs might have an entire state full of Coug flags in the crowd. Combine that with Duck flags, Gameday could see "Operation Outnumber", where the number of Duck and Coug flags outnumber Dawg flags.

Wouldn't that ruin the Huskies party? Couldn't happen to a nicer team.

Game time Saturday, 1pm Pacific on Fox Sports 1, or Fox 1 Sports or whatever.

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